Monday May 23, 2016
May 2016 CLIMAS SW Climate Podcast - Even more disappointment re: El Niño and looking towards the impending ”Doom Season”
In this episode of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido cover a side range of topics related to weather and climate in the Southwest, including:
The transition from winter into spring so far with a recap of weather over the past month, including the recent run of milder and wetter weather than we might expect in a normally dry period,
A deeper dive on the ongoing disappointment that was El Niño, by looking closely at a preliminary analysis (Levine & McPhaden, below), and what it begins to tell us in diagnosing what happened with El Niño
An exploration of the wildfire risk potential for this year, and how recent years compare, going back to the 2011 fire season, and
An early start to discussing the monsoon, partly because the season is closer than we might think, but also as a way to divert attention from what Zack is calling the "doom season" (hot and dry conditions leading up to the monsoon).
Online Resources
How the July 2014 Easterly Wind Burst Gave the 2015-6 El Niño a Head Start - Aaron F. Z. Levine & Michael J. McPhaden
Arctic Oscillation Analysis and Forecasts April 21, 2016
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